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Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.The White House commuted the sentences of 1,500 people in one day, and Biden pardoned 39 people in one day. According to Agence France-Presse reported on December 12, US President Biden commuted the sentences of nearly 1,500 people and pardoned 39 people at the end of his term. The White House said that this was the "largest" leniency action in a single day in American history. Biden announced on the 12th that about 1,500 people would be commuted, and at the same time, 39 non-violent offenders would be pardoned, saying that they had turned over a new leaf and were committed to making the community safer. (Reference message)

Shanghai Gold Exchange: the settlement price of NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was 627.85 yuan/gram. On December 13th, Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a notice saying that NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was settled on December 13th, 2024. The details of the settlement of the contract are as follows: the settlement price of NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was 627.85 yuan/gram.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.On the afternoon of December 13th, the Central District Court of Seoul, South Korea, examined the necessity of the arrest of Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department suspected of participating in the emergency martial law incident. On the 11th, the special investigation team for emergency martial law of the National Investigation Department of the South Korean Police made an emergency arrest on the suspicion of "civil unrest" against the police chiefs of Zhao Zhihao and Seoul, and applied to the court for their arrest warrants on the 12th. Later, Kim Fung-sik said that he would give up attending the review on the necessity of arrest. On 13th, Zhao Zhihao didn't answer a reporter's question after arriving at Seoul Central District Court, but his defense lawyer said that Zhao Zhihao "opposed martial law and wanted to protect democracy, not the object of punishment". The police believe that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi met with Yin Xiyue and participated in the martial law plan before the martial law was issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue, and assisted Yin Xiyue in enforcing martial law by sending police to control the National Assembly. Zhao Zhihao is also suspected of sending police to the Central Electoral Affairs Commission to help enforce martial law. The Seoul Central District Court will make a decision on whether to issue an arrest warrant for them late at night on the 13th or early on the 14th. (CCTV News)

FedEx signed a memorandum of understanding with Hong Kong Customs on the facilitation of cross-border express customs clearance. FedEx announced that it signed a memorandum of understanding with Hong Kong Customs on the facilitation of cross-border express customs clearance (CEFA) yesterday and became the first company to join the memorandum of understanding, which is expected to benefit from stable and efficient customs clearance procedures. CEFA aims to improve the efficiency of customs clearance of cross-border cargoes from the Mainland to Hong Kong. According to the Memorandum of Understanding, the Customs and Excise Department will provide customs clearance service for imported cargoes transported from the Mainland to Hong Kong at one of the FedEx service stations in the urban area of Hong Kong, and arrange for imported cargoes currently transported to Hong Kong by FedEx Guangzhou Asia-Pacific transshipment center to be transported by cross-border trucks equipped with electronic locks (E-locks) and global positioning systems (GPS).The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the 53rd consecutive trading day.Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)